Paramount Ups Bid as Markets Await Fed Decision

Paramount Skydance has intensified one of the year’s biggest entertainment battles just as Wall Street braces for a crucial Federal Reserve decision. On Monday, the studio launched a hostile takeover bid for Warner Bros. Discovery, escalating a fast-moving contest that now involves Hollywood’s most powerful players and global tech giants. The offer landed only days after Netflix stunned the industry with a deal to acquire key WBD assets, sending investors scrambling to reassess the future of the streaming landscape. With markets already on edge ahead of the Fed’s final rate call of 2025, the clash between Paramount, Netflix, and WBD added fresh drama to a week already packed with high-stakes economic and corporate developments.

Netflix Sweeps In, but the Fight Isn’t Over

Netflix’s unexpected deal last week to acquire WBD’s streaming and studio assets jolted the industry. The announcement confirmed months of speculation that the world’s largest streaming service aimed to consolidate its position by absorbing one of Hollywood’s most established production houses. Its offer, which includes both cash and Netflix stock, would give the company control over HBO, Warner Bros. Pictures, and major franchises widely considered cultural assets.

However, Paramount Skydance’s counteroffer complicates the transaction significantly.

Analysts observe that Paramount has a simpler, possibly more attractive proposal to WBD shareholders who might be concerned about valuation risks associated with stock-based acquisition transactions. Nevertheless, Netflix is an equally competitive company, with substantial capital holdings, strong cash flow, and an international distribution channel that traditional studios cannot match.

The entertainment sector is taking notes, with an understanding that the successful company will have a colossal power over movie, TV, and streaming content in the coming years. Analysts expect further developments in the coming days as WBD’s board evaluates the competing bids and shareholders begin to weigh their options.

Tech Stocks Rise as Trump Approves Nvidia’s H200 Exports to China

Another major storyline boosting investor sentiment Monday was President Donald Trump’s decision to allow Nvidia to export its advanced H200 artificial intelligence chips to China and other select countries. The approval came with a key condition: the U.S. government will take a 25 percent cut of sales tied to the chip’s distribution abroad.

The move represents a sharp shift in U.S. policy after months of tightened export controls aimed at restricting China’s access to cutting-edge semiconductors. Nvidia shares rose roughly 2 percent in extended trading as markets absorbed the news, while traders said the decision could ease tensions in the tech sector and reopen valuable revenue channels.

Trump bows to China pressure? US seeks compromise over Nvidia H200 AI chip export, says report – Firstpost

Trump said Chinese President Xi Jinping “responded positively” to the proposal, signaling the possibility of a temporary economic détente amid ongoing trade friction. Analysts believe the revenue-sharing mechanism could become a template for future technology export agreements, especially in industries considered strategically sensitive.

Despite gains in semiconductor names, broader U.S. markets finished lower Monday. The declines came as investors turned their attention toward the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting on Wednesday, widely expected to deliver the central bank’s final rate decision of 2025.

Markets Brace for Federal Reserve Verdict

Markets have priced in a nearly 90 percent probability of a quarter-point rate cut, according to the CME FedWatch tool. Expectations have fueled a two-week rally across major indexes, particularly in technology and growth names that typically react favorably to easing monetary policy.

Stephen Kolano, chief investment officer at Integrated Partners, said recent market strength reflects confidence that the Fed will finally begin unwinding its stringent rate-tightening cycle. “The market action you’ve seen the last one or two weeks is essentially baking in the very high likelihood of a 25 basis point cut,” he said.

However, Kolano warned of significant downside risk if the Fed decides against a cut. “For some very unlikely reason, if they don’t cut, forget it. I think markets are down 2 to 3 percent,” he said, noting that investors have little patience left after months of mixed inflation data and uncertain policy signals.

If the Fed holds steady, traders may pivot quickly to lobbying for rate relief early next year, particularly as economic forecasts for 2026 begin to darken.

Leadership Changes at Berkshire Hathaway Add Another Twist

Adding further complexity to the market narrative is a leadership transition at Berkshire Hathaway. Todd Combs, one of Warren Buffett’s top investment managers and the CEO of Geico, is set to depart for JPMorgan Chase. The shift marks a significant change for one of the world’s most closely watched investing firms.

Berkshire is also adding new senior roles, including a general counsel and a president overseeing consumer, service, and retail divisions. Analysts say the moves indicate a broader succession strategy underway within Buffett’s empire as the company prepares for long-term structural evolution.

China’s Trade Surplus Surges Past $1 Trillion

In global economic news, China’s trade surplus exceeded $1 trillion for the first time, despite a deepening trade war and falling exports to the United States. Data shows overall exports grew 5.4 percent from January to November compared to the same period in 2024, while imports fell 0.6 percent.

According to the economists, the serious surplus will enable China to balance the weak domestic demand and will keep the nation on track to realize its 5 percent GDP growth target by 2025. Zhiwei Zhang of Pinpoint Asset Management has stated that export recovery will be one of the key pillars of support as Beijing attempts to stabilize a declining economy.

A Pivotal Week for Global Markets

As the Federal Reserve decision nears, Paramount and Netflix enter a Hollywood showdown, Nvidia deals with geopolitical challenges, and China records a historic trade surplus, investors head into the week facing a policy risk-corporate drama-global economic tension rarefied. Moreover, markets are gearing towards a decisive turn which might shape the initial course of 2026 and traders, executives and policymakers are looking forward to the next clear signal.

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